Modeling Cigarette Consumption

10/26/00


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Table of Contents

Modeling Cigarette Consumption

Background -- California Cigarette Excise Tax Allocations (Cents Per Pack)

Background -- Proposition 10

Modeling Challenges

Methodology -- Nonlinear Regression Model

Model Structure -- Functional Form and Specification

Mathematical Specification

Independent Variables

Results -- Overall Model

Results -- Coefficients

Results -- Example of Interpretation of B1 Coefficient

Results -- Hypothetical Example of Interpretation of Assumed Changes

Author: Joe Fitz

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